Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.019200 0.020695 0.022251 0.023991 0.025886 0.027887 0.030163
2025-11-16 0.016428 0.018532 0.020834 0.023546 0.026659 0.030130 0.034302
2025-11-23 0.014781 0.017244 0.020042 0.023468 0.027563 0.032319 0.038288
2025-11-30 0.013499 0.016179 0.019317 0.023280 0.028176 0.034060 0.041711
2025-12-07 0.012509 0.015339 0.018741 0.023154 0.028764 0.035707 0.045024
2025-12-14 0.011655 0.014583 0.018181 0.022961 0.029195 0.037115 0.048048
2025-12-21 0.011031 0.014057 0.017854 0.023010 0.029893 0.038855 0.051555
2025-12-28 0.010413 0.013492 0.017428 0.022879 0.030314 0.040214 0.054588
2026-01-04 0.009906 0.013034 0.017104 0.022847 0.030838 0.041707 0.057858
2026-01-11 0.009495 0.012677 0.016885 0.022929 0.031502 0.043403 0.061483
2026-01-18 0.009104 0.012321 0.016643 0.022953 0.032068 0.044967 0.064982
2026-01-25 0.008723 0.011957 0.016365 0.022902 0.032508 0.046354 0.068276
2026-02-01 0.008226 0.011421 0.015840 0.022499 0.032455 0.047075 0.070704
2026-02-08 0.007765 0.010917 0.015338 0.022102 0.032391 0.047778 0.073159
2026-02-15 0.007439 0.010588 0.015069 0.022032 0.032805 0.049216 0.076849
2026-02-22 0.007108 0.010236 0.014746 0.021858 0.033039 0.050372 0.080138
2026-03-01 0.006819 0.009930 0.014474 0.021740 0.033346 0.051647 0.083687
2026-03-08 0.006534 0.009617 0.014174 0.021561 0.033537 0.052735 0.086970
2026-03-15 0.006325 0.009409 0.014025 0.021607 0.034087 0.054426 0.091386
2026-03-22 0.006090 0.009149 0.013780 0.021485 0.034348 0.055641 0.095030
2026-03-29 0.005890 0.008936 0.013599 0.021454 0.034755 0.057115 0.099219
2026-04-05 0.005727 0.008773 0.013489 0.021531 0.035341 0.058922 0.104121
2026-04-12 0.005562 0.008598 0.013351 0.021553 0.035830 0.060576 0.108839